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A H Khan

Published:
2018-09-20 13:45:28 BdST

Asian markets extend gains as trade hopes persist


Optimism that China and the United States will eventually resolve their trade conflict kept Asian investors buoyant on Thursday, while emerging market currencies held gains after Beijing’s pledge not to weaponise the yuan in the standoff.

Regional markets have been on the rise this week after the two sides’
latest tit-for-tat tariffs were considered lenient and allowed for talks,
with observers suggesting a further escalation was unlikely before the end of
the year.

And while China on Wednesday hit back at Donald Trump’s accusation that it
is using the trade conflict to affect November’s key mid-term elections, the
generally upbeat sentiment continued into a third day.

Tokyo ended the morning session up slightly to sit around a three-year
high, while Hong Kong rose 0.8 percent and Shanghai added 0.3 percent.

Singapore gained 0.2 percent and Seoul put on 0.7 percent with Jakarta
rising 0.5 percent.

However, Wellington eased 0.2 percent despite data showing the New Zealand
economy grew at its fastest in two years during the second quarter. Sydney
and Taipei also both eased 0.2 percent.

“With both the US and China likely to resume negotiations, expectations
are still there for a resolution before President Trump deems it necessary to
double down on tariffs,” said Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trade at
OANDA.

The broadly positive performance followed a healthy lead from Wall Street,
with all three main indexes pushing closer to record highs.

– ‘Encouraging’ –

On foreign exchanges, embattled emerging market (EM) currencies are
enjoying some much-needed buying support, having been beaten down by trade
war fears in recent months, as well as concerns of a spillover from crises in
Argentina, South Africa and Turkey.

Analysts said that as well as the easing trade tensions, a key boost for
the currencies was Premier Li Keqiang’s statement that China would not
devalue the yuan to fend off the effects of any tariffs.

“China will never rely on the depreciation of the renminbi (yuan) to
stimulate exports, because a one-way depreciation of the renminbi exchange
rate will have more disadvantages than advantages,” he told an economic
forum.

“The premier’s comments are encouraging as they indicate that China won’t
actively use its currency as a weapon in its trade scuffle with the US,” said
Rodrigo Catril, senior forex strategist at National Australia Bank.
However, he added: “As we have seen in recent months this doesn’t
necessarily mean that China will prevent the yuan from weakening if market
forces push the currency lower.”

A devaluation in 2015 sent world markets and EM currencies plunging.

On Thursday, South Korea’s won rose 0.2 percent, while Indonesia’s rupiah
and the Thai baht both added 0.3 percent.

The Malaysian ringgit edged up 0.1 percent and Turkey’s lira climbed 0.8
percent.

Oil prices extended Wednesday’s gains, which were spurred by data showing
US stockpiles fell to a three-year low, indicating strengthening demand and
offsetting concerns about the possible impact of a trade war.

– Key figures around 0230 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: FLAT at 23,672.91 (break)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 0.8 percent at 27,611.82

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.3 percent at 2,739.89

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1680 from $1.1675 at 2100 GMT

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3142 from $1.3146

Dollar/yen: UP at 112.30 yen from 112.26 yen

Oil – West Texas Intermediate: UP 59 cents at $71.71 per barrel

Oil – Brent Crude: UP 15 cents at $79.15 per barrel

New York – Dow Jones: UP 0.6 percent at 26,405.76 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.4 percent at 7,331.12 (close)

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